Falling chocolate prices led grocery prices lower in June


But coffee and egg prices are still higher year-over-year

By Mark Huffman of ConsumerAffairs

July 10, 2025

  • The ConsumerAffairs Datasembly Shopping Cart Index fell nearly 3% year-over-year in June, largely due to a 62% drop in cookie prices, which benefited from falling sugar and chocolate costs.

  • Despite the broader decline, prices for staples like whole bean coffee (+14.5%) and organic eggs (+13.5%) continued to rise, along with smaller increases for soda, chips, and milk.

  • While several items saw significant price cutsincluding salted butter, spring water, tuna, and breadothers remained flat or edged higher, highlighting persistent inflation across parts of the grocery aisle.


After three years of inflation, grocery prices remain high, but a large decline in the price of chocolate pushed the ConsumerAffairs Datasembly Shopping Cart Index lower in June.

The Index is made up of 24 commonly purchased grocery items. Datasembly tracks price changes in real time.

In June, the total cost of the 24 items was $147.50, down from $152 in June 2024. Thats an annual decline of nearly 3%. But one item in the cart was responsible for much of the decline.

In July 2024, a 14.3 oz. package of cookies cost $9.91. Last month, that package of cookies sold for $3.78, a year-over-year decine of nearly 62%. Both sugar and chocolate prices have significantly moderated over the last 12 months. The cost has declined by 41 cents since May.

But prices for several other items have remained stubbornly high:

Top 5 items with the largest price increases

Product

June 2024

June 2025

Change ($)

Change (%)

Whole Bean Coffee 12oz

$11.83

$13.55

+$1.72

+14.54%

Organic Eggs 1 dozen

$5.54

$6.29

+$0.75

+13.54%

Cola Bottle 2 liters

$2.89

$3.11

+$0.22

+7.61%

Classic Potato Chips 8 oz bag

$3.83

$4.02

+$0.19

+4.96%

Whole Milk Half Gallon

$2.58

$2.66

+$0.08

+3.10%

In addition to cookies, prices have declined for salted butter, spring water, canned tuna and honey wheat bread.

June Shopping Cart Index

Product

May 2024

May 2025

June 2024

June 2025

Penne Pasta 16 oz

1.93

1.96

1.95

1.95

Select-a-size Paper towels

20.99

20.99

20.99

20.99

Solid White Albacore Tuna in water 5oz

2.28

2.22

2.27

2.21

Condensed Chicken Noodle Soup 10.75 oz

1.43

1.42

1.43

1.43

Cola Bottle 2 liters

2.89

3.11

2.89

3.11

Whole Milk Half Gallon

2.52

2.63

2.58

2.66

Whole Bean Coffee 12oz

11.83

12.74

11.83

13.55

Organic eggs 1 dozen

5.37

6.79

5.54

6.29

Waffles 10 count, 12.3 oz

3.29

3.24

3.28

3.24

Frosted donuts 8 count

5.42

5.36

5.36

5.3

Tomato ketchup 20 oz

3.85

3.89

3.84

3.89

Mayonnaise 30 oz

6.27

6.27

6.29

6.28

Honey Nut Cereal 18.8oz Family size

5.57

5.65

5.57

5.56

American Cheese singles 24 ct

5.5

5.4

5.5

5.45

Salted Butter 1 lb

5.94

5.4

6.12

5.42

Classic Potato Chips 8 oz bag

3.91

4.02

3.83

4.02

Honey Wheat Bread 20 oz

3.79

3.69

3.78

3.69

Cookies 14.3oz

9.98

4.19

9.91

3.78

Bacon 16 oz

7.72

8.02

8.02

7.92

Liquid dish detergent 46 oz

Spring Water 16.9 oz, 32 ct

7.57

7.26

7.55

7.24

1000 sheet toilet paper 12 ct

12.28

12.48

12.28

12.36

Peanut Butter 16.3 oz

3.3

3.27

3.29

3.25

White rice 32 oz

5.08

4.87

4.86

4.86

Laundry detergent 96 oz

13.05

13.04

13.04

13.05

TOTAL

151.76

147.91

152

147.5



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