Goldman Sachs computer model warns bear market is near but the firm’s analysts don’t believe it

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Goldman Sachs computer model warns bear market is near but the firm's analysts don't believe it

Goldman Sachs computer model warns bear market is near but the firm's analysts don't believe it    8:37 PM ET Tue, 27 March 2018 | 01:26

A computer model built by Goldman Sachs is signaling that a bear market is right around the corner, but some strategists at the investment bank are not listening to their own indicator.

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Goldman Sachs’ bull/bear indicator is sitting above 70 percent. That level is “normally associated with high risks for equity investors,” Goldman’s Peter Oppenheimer, Sharon Bell, Lilia Peytavin and Guillaume Jaisson wrote in a note Monday.

The indicator takes into account five factors: growth momentum (measured by the average percentile for U.S. ISM indexes), the slope of the yield curve, core inflation, unemployment and stock valuations as measured by the Shiller price-earnings multiple.

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